Weekend projections: Paramount claims top spot for Regretting You on exceptionally quiet weekend

This is a great weekend to go to the movies if you like having a theater to yourself. In fact, by that measure, this is one of the best weekends in most people’s lifetimes. The combined box office of all movies reporting so far stands at less than $50 million, and we estimate not many more than 4 million tickets will be sold this weekend nationwide. The one bright spot is arguably a surprise win for Regretting You, which is holding quite well in its second weekend (down 41% from its opening). Paramount is claiming the weekend win for Regretting You, although Black Phone 2 could still win, and the two films’ estimates stand just $100,000 apart as of Sunday morning.

Here are the official studio projections for the three-day weekend (click the image for a full chart of all films reporting so far):

Regretting You was well back in fifth place on the chart on Friday, but bounced back to top the list on Saturday. Paramount is expecting another good day today, with $3.1 million, compared to Universal’s prediction of $2.09 million for Black Phone 2. It would only take a slightly weaker day than predicted for Regretting You for the order of the two films over the weekend to be reversed. In short, this race is too close to call right now.

Irrespective of who wins, this is a dismal weekend for movie theaters. In fact, measured by estimated ticket sales, it’s the fourth-worst weekend since 1982:

We will get reporting from more distributors on Monday, which will push the weekend total up a little. That might move it into the fifth-worst or even six-worst weekend spot. The really sobering stat is that this is the fourth weekend in 2025 to hit the top ten in this particular chart.

– Studio weekend projections

– All-time top-grossing movies in North America

– All-time top-grossing movies worldwide

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Bruce Nash, bruce.nash@the-numbers.com