To date, there’s only been six movies to crack the $700 million mark at the domestic box office, and we’re about to get a seventh one Wednesday with Sony/Marvel Studios’ Spider-Man: Brand New Day. As of Tuesday, the running cume of the Destin Daniel Cretton-directed movie was an estimated $671.2M, with close to $17M made Monday. Tuesday is always bargain ticket day, so expect a daily gross around Monday’s number.
Brand New Day will become the fourth Marvel Cinematic Universe title to cross $700M stateside after Avengers: Endgame ($858.3M), Spider-Man: No Way Home ($814.8M) and Black Panther ($700.4M).
The third weekend of Brand New Day will be rich enough to lead the domestic box office again with an estimated take between $57M-$72M, down anywhere from 50%-60%. Avengers: Endgame eased 57% in its third frame, and we can’t use 2021’s Spider-Man: No Way Home as a comp since that pic fell 34% in its third session, which had the cushion of a New Year’s weekend. The best third weekend ever for a movie at the North American box office belongs to Star Wars: The Force Awakens with $90.2M, followed by 2009’s Avatar with $68.4M.
Before kids fully go back to school, Warner Bros has the Bad Robot PG-13 dinosaur movie The End of Oak Street, about a neighborhood that winds up in a prehistoric jungle. Starring Anne Hathaway and Ewan McGregor and booked at an estimated 3,400 theaters, the expectation is for a start between $20M-$25M on this $80M net production. The Hathaway factor is showing a strong first choice among women, though unaided tracking is behind such PG-13 monster movies as The Meg and Rampage.
Previews start at 1 p.m. Thursday for the movie from It Follows filmmaker David Robert Mitchell. The pic has PLF screens, while Imax is a share between Brand New Day and The Odyssey, the latter of which is looking to do $17M-$20M in its fifth weekend.
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Paramount and Spin Master have PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie, which will pull in toddlers and moms. It’s already banked $25M overseas from 30 territories and should do in the mid- to high-teens this weekend at 3,500 sites. It’s always about the tail with these movies on Paramount+ and in regards to the Melrose lot’s co-share on merchandise money. There was already a Saturday preview that will be rolled into Thursday previews, which start at 2 p.m.. The last film in the franchise, 2023’s PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie owns the best domestic franchise debut with $22.7M, which legged out to $65.3M. Since Paramount has had theatrical on the franchise it has grossed more than $374M worldwide from two movies including 2021’s PAW Patrol: The Movie.
Also bowing this weekend is Angel Studios’ drama The Brink of War at 2,000 theaters. Jeff Daniels plays Ronald Reagan in the pic, trying to save a nuclear deal with Jared Harris’ Mikhail Gorbachev. Black Bear has Andrew Patterson’s sophomore feature, bluegrass-music infused crime caper The Rivals of Amziah King, in 500 sites, boosted by a big push in the heartland and South. The 2025 SXSW world premiere title is 95% certified fresh, and reps Matthew McConaughey’s return to cinemas (the last time we saw him on the big screen was in 2020’s Guy Ritchie title The Gentleman).
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Neon has the Dylan Meyer-directed stoner comedy The Wrong Girls starring Kristen Stewart, Alia Shawkat and Cate Blanchett. No RT critical score yet. Per Rentrak, the movie is expected to have a moderate footprint with around 500 locations.